Strategy Tips for your 2013 Fantasy Football Draft PPR League Rounds 1 and 2 – The Geek Speaks
When you are a Fantasy Geek doing mock drafts is like therapy in the off season. I’ll do 50 to 100 mocks before ever entering a real money draft. I’ll basically try and perfect my strategy based on where ever my starting draft position is then determine by repetition what mix of player targeting works best and nets me the best result. When drafting I’m looking for explosive players in the early rounds, consistent players in the middle rounds and high reward players in the late rounds. It’s still early in the fantasy draft season but I believe that my strategy for 2013 has emerged.
In this analysis we give a step by step guide to your early round drafting strategy. I’m using the following assumptions: 10 Team League, 1QB 2RB 3 WR 1TE D K as the positions to fill. The scoring system is PPR based with .5 points awarded for receptions.
Before we get into a round by round analysis lets restate the two caveats specific to the 2013 NFL Fantasy Football Draft season:
1) Do not take a QB in the first 5 rounds of the draft! I can’t overstate this. Having gone through quite a few mock drafts I can say that players like RG3, Andy Luck, Matty Stafford and Tony Romo are consistently available after the 6th round. There is no need to reach for Aaron Rodgers when Griffin or Luck could get you similar production 4-5 rounds later.
2) We are advising not to take a TE before round 5. Ideally all of your starting RB’s and WR’s should be acquired before considering a TE. I would make an exception if an extreme value TE (Graham/ Healthy Gronk) dropped down into the 4th round. In general though the midling TE’s are all very similar to one another and not worth reaching for.
Just following points one and two here should be enough to give you a big step up on your competition. Now put it in to practice by following step 3:
3) Do some mocks! If you are going to play Fantasy Football for money you need to be prepared. The fact that you are reading this article is a positive sign that you are doing your research. Keep it going by checking in here daily for tips and advice but the most important thing is doing mock drafts.
Ok back to the draft strategy:
The first round is relatively straight forward this season. It starts with the elite RB’s in this order: Adrian Petersen, Arian Foster, Doug Martin, CJ Spiller and Jamal Charles. These are your top five guys. If you are picking in the top five starting spots round one is a no brainer. Take the elite RB and don’t worry about it. For folks in this bracket (top 5 picks) you should be looking at adding an elite WR in round two. Things get a bit more interesting for teams drafting in the second half of the first round. Guys like Shady McCoy, Ray Rice, T Rich, Freddy Morris, Marshaun Lynch as well as Megatron, AJ Green and Dez Bryant are all possibilities here. In PPR leagues I am advocating grabbing Calvin Johnson in this spot anywhere after pick #5. I’d even be ok with Megatron over someone like Charles or Spiller. The further down Round 1 you can get Johnson the better. I had one mock where Megatron dropped to me in the 8 slot. I was able to grab Brandon Marshall or AJ Green at pick 12 and create a superstar WR tandem in the first 2 rounds. PPR leagues have an emphasis on the WR position that allows you to forego the early round superstar RB and still be competitive.
The second round gets a bit more interesting. Names like AJ Green, Julio Jones, Brandon Marshall, Jimmy Graham, Dez Bryant, Aaron Rodgers, MJD, Matt Forte, Stephen Jackson, Freddy Morris all come off the board in or around the second round. If I grabbed a top flight RB in round one I would be looking for a superstar WR in the second. Green, Dez and Marshall all qualify and they would be my targets. Personally my rankings would be 1) Green 2) Marshall, 3) Julio 4) Dez. Even if you took a Calvin Johnson in round 1 I would still target one of those 4 WR’s in the 2nd round. Once they are all taken look at RB’s like MJD, Forte and Jackson in the second round.
The third round is where some people will begin to crack and start targeting QB’s and even TE’s. Do not succumb to the pressure! Smile when Brees, Newton and Brady come off the board in round three. Wonder about the guy that grabbed Gronkowski in round 3 as well. “Does he know something I don’t?” but don’t be fazed. He probably is just rolling the dice there. Then sit back and smile as Demaryus Thomas, Roddy White, CJ2K or MJD falls into your lap here. At this point in your draft you should be watching other teams rosters and figuring out what their next moves might be. Keep an eye on the lists of available RB’s and WR’s and draft accordingly moving forward.
The rest of the draft:
By the end of round 4 you should have 2RB’s and 2WR’s on your team. Use the next round or two to fill out your roster. I wouldn’t be afraid of grabbing a 3rd RB for the bench before even grabbing that 3rd WR. It always depends on who is available. If I am looking at a Reggie Bush or Demarco Murray type RB for my bench versus a WR3 like Steve Smith or Wes Welker I may choose the RB depth in that spot. By the middle rounds of your draft (5-9) you need to keep an eye at the available players at every position. A run on TE’s will likely happen soon. Jason Witten is a PPR monster and should be a target in this area. If he is missed we have Vernon Davis as a major sleeper this season and he should be available in 7th or 8th rounds. At some point in this part of the draft you should also be grabbing your QB. I’ve been shooting for a mix of RG3 with Stafford or Luck or Romo as a backup.
Check back in for my list of late round players I love. Guys like Shane Vereen, Anquan Boldin and Monte Ball come to mind here. Also let me know what you think. Disagree with me? Let me know by leaving a comment. Love the advice? Let me know by leaving a comment as well. Of course if you havent already done so follow me on twitter @ffootballgeek for up to the minute fantasy football strategy and advice.